EU Steel Exports to US Drop 34%, Eurofer Calls for Implementation of Trade Agreement

0xBroomberg
Published 2026-06-03About 6 min read

Three quarters after the US doubled steel tariffs to 50%, EU steel exports to America fell to 1.94 million tonnes — down 34% year-on-year; Eurofer warns the EU may suspend concessions if derivative tariffs are not cut to 15% by year-end.

01

How far have exports fallen?

In the three quarters since the US raised steel tariffs from 25% to 50%, EU steel exports to America dropped to 1.94 million tonnes — a 34% year-on-year decline.
The longer trend is clear: 2017 4.7 mt → 2024 4.1 mt → 2025 3.4 mt → now 1.94 mt.
This means → exports did not fall off a cliff overnight; each tariff hike knocked them down another step, and the doubling sharply accelerated the slide.
02

What did last year's deal actually promise?

In July last year the two sides signed a trade deal at Turnberry, Scotland, built on three pillars: the EU drops tariffs on most US goods, the US applies a flat 15% tariff on EU exports, and both sides negotiate steel-and-aluminium duty-free quotas plus measures against global overcapacity.
Eurofer Director General Axel Eggert was blunt: the US needs to deliver on its commitments.
In plain terms = the deal was signed, but the steel-specific terms have not been fully implemented — there is still a wide gap between the framework on paper and what has actually happened.
03

Why are "derivative tariffs" an extra wild card?

Derivative tariffs — levies on finished products containing metal, such as washing machines and motorcycles — were initially set at 50%.
Trump expanded their scope one month after the Turnberry deal was signed. This means → the ink was barely dry before new tariffs were added.
On Monday the US announced a cut on some derivative tariffs to 15%, but refrigerators, lawn mowers, and railway parts remain at 25%.
04

What is the next critical checkpoint?

Eurofer has stated explicitly: if those products still at 25% are not brought down to 15% by year-end, the EU may suspend some of its trade concessions.
This reflects the EU using "reversible concessions" as leverage to force the US into full implementation.
In plain terms = whether the deal is fully delivered will be tested by year-end — that is the make-or-break moment for Europe's steel industry to stabilise.

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