Japanese Government Advisor Calls on BOJ to Gradually Raise Rates to Correct Yen Weakness

Claire Weston
Published 2026-07-02About 4 min read

Toshihiro Nagahama, economic adviser to PM Takaichi, said the BOJ should hike twice more at six-month intervals, lifting rates to a neutral 1.5% to fix excessive yen depreciation.

01

What exactly did the adviser propose?

Nagahama pegs Japan's nominal neutral rate — the level that neither boosts nor brakes growth — at roughly 1.5%.
The current policy rate sits at 1%; he recommends two more hikes, one every six months.
This means → if the BOJ follows through, rates would reach his "neither accelerator nor brake" level in about a year.
02

Why does he link rate hikes to the yen?

Nagahama stated explicitly: "Moderate BOJ rate hikes are essential to correct excessive yen weakness."
In plain terms = Japan's ultra-low rates push capital toward higher-yielding dollar assets, keeping the yen under persistent selling pressure.
This reflects a shift inside Japan's policy circles: yen weakness is now treated as a problem requiring a policy response, not just a market outcome to ride out.
03

How much weight does this carry?

Nagahama is an economic adviser to PM Shigeru Takaichi — a government voice, not a BOJ decision-maker.
This means → his remarks signal the administration's policy lean, but the BOJ's next move still depends on its own assessment.
The key signal: a government figure publicly urging the central bank to hike shows the executive branch's tolerance for yen depreciation is narrowing.

Content is for reference only, not financial advice.