PBOC: RMB Exchange Rate Expected to Continue Two-Way Fluctuations

nashnova research
2026-07-15发布阅读约 4 分钟

PBOC Deputy Governor Zou Lan said on the 15th that forces driving the yuan up and down exist simultaneously, and the currency is expected to keep fluctuating in both directions — signalling that Beijing wants neither a one-way rally nor a one-way slide.

01

What did the PBOC actually say?

Zou Lan stated at a State Council press briefing that factors affecting the yuan are diverse, with appreciation and depreciation pressures both present.
The core message is one sentence: the yuan is expected to continue two-way fluctuation.
This means → the central bank is telling markets: do not bet on a one-way move.
02

What does "two-way fluctuation" really mean?

In plain terms = the yuan can rise or fall; the PBOC considers that normal, not a crisis.
This reflects Beijing's stance on the exchange rate: no pursuit of strength, no tolerance for freefall — just acceptance of swings within a reasonable band.
For ordinary savers, there is no need to panic-buy foreign currency — officials are signalling no sustained directional trend.
03

What does this mean for markets?

The phrase "appreciation and depreciation forces coexist" is itself a form of expectations management — cooling the market in advance.
This means → if the yuan moves sharply in either direction, the PBOC will likely step in to pull volatility back inside the band.
In plain terms = the central bank has drawn an invisible line: the yuan can move, but not too fast.

市场有风险,内容仅供研究参考,不构成投资建议。

PBOC: RMB Exchange Rate Expected to Continue Two-Way Fluctuations · nashnova