Trump's Upcoming Iran Deal: Leaked Details of Internal Clauses
U.S. media Axios disclosed the internal terms of the Iran deal that Trump is on the verge of signing.
According to a U.S. official, the upcoming agreement between the U.S. and Iran involves a ceasefire extension arrangement for 60 days, during which the Strait of Hormuz will be reopened, allowing Iran to freely sell oil, and both parties will negotiate restrictions on Iran's nuclear program.
This agreement will prevent further escalation of war and alleviate pressure on global oil supply. However, it is currently unclear whether the agreement can ultimately lead to a lasting peace agreement while also meeting Trump's requirements on the nuclear issue.
Both Trump and various mediators have stated that the agreement may be announced on Sunday, but the agreement has not yet been finalized, and there is still a risk of collapse. The aforementioned U.S. official detailed the current status of the draft agreement, with most of the content confirmed by other informed sources. Iran has not yet confirmed the details mentioned above, but Tehran has also signaled that the agreement is about to be reached.
Main Points of the Agreement
Both parties will sign a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) valid for 60 days, renewable with mutual consent.
During the 60-day period, the Strait of Hormuz will be freely open to passage, and Iran agrees to remove its deployed naval mines to ensure the free passage of ships.
In exchange, the U.S. will lift the blockade on Iranian ports and grant some sanctions exemptions, allowing Iran to freely sell oil.
The aforementioned U.S. official acknowledged that this move will benefit Iran's economy but will also significantly ease the pressure on the global oil market.
The official stated that the faster Iran removes mines and resumes shipping, the faster the U.S. will lift the blockade.
Trump insists on the core principle of "relief for action" in the agreement.
Iran hopes to immediately unfreeze funds and obtain permanent sanctions exemptions, but the U.S. side stated that the aforementioned measures will only be realized after Iran makes substantial concessions.
Nuclear Negotiations Still Need to Be Advanced
The draft MOU includes Iran's commitment to never seeking nuclear weapons, as well as commitments to negotiate a suspension of uranium enrichment programs and the removal of high-enriched uranium stockpiles.
According to two informed sources, Iran has made verbal commitments to the U.S. through mediators, indicating the extent of concessions they are willing to make in suspending uranium enrichment and handing over nuclear materials.
During the 60-day period, the U.S. will agree to negotiate on the removal of sanctions and the unfreezing of Iranian assets—but these measures will only be implemented after the final agreement is verifiably fulfilled.
The U.S. military forces moved in recent months will continue to stay in the region during the 60-day period, and will only withdraw after a final agreement is reached.
Israel's Hidden Worries
The draft MOU also clearly states that the war between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon will be declared over.
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu expressed concerns about this clause during a call with Trump on Saturday, a statement confirmed by an Israeli official. He also objected to other aspects of the agreement but remained restrained and respectful in his tone, said a U.S. official.
U.S. officials said this would not be a "unilateral ceasefire" — if Hezbollah attempts to rearm or provoke attacks, Israel will be allowed to take action to prevent it. "If Hezbollah behaves, Israel will naturally behave."
"Bibi has his own domestic political considerations, but Trump needs to consider U.S. interests and the global economy," said the aforementioned U.S. official, referring to Netanyahu by his nickname "Bibi."
How the Agreement Was Facilitated
On Saturday, Trump consulted with several Arab and Muslim leaders through a teleconference, with three informed sources stating that all leaders expressed support.
Among them was the tough-line Emirati President Mohammed bin Zayed, confirmed by the aforementioned U.S. official. Leaders from Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Egypt, Turkey, and Pakistan, who were all involved in the mediation, also participated in the call.
Content is for reference only, not financial advice.