U.S. Plans to Warn Allies: Join the American AI Bloc or Face Incompatibility with China's Initiatives

Nashnova编辑部
Published todayAbout 8 min read

A draft State Department letter reviewed by Reuters warns 35 partner nations that joining a US-led AI framework may be incompatible with participating in Beijing-backed initiatives — this means the AI race is escalating from corporate competition to a national-alignment choice.

01

What exactly is Washington asking allies to do?

A draft letter reviewed by Reuters shows Washington preparing to tell 35 signatories of the "AI Opportunities Statement" that joining the US-led AI framework may be incompatible with Beijing-backed initiatives.
This means → the US is pushing AI cooperation toward a binary choice for the first time — no more straddling both sides.
The letter has not been sent yet and may still be revised — but the directional signal is already clear.
02

What is the "Pax Silica" framework?

Pax Silica is a US-led cooperation framework aimed at building trusted supply chains around semiconductors, critical minerals, and AI infrastructure.
Roughly 20 countries have joined so far, including Japan, Australia, and South Korea.
In plain terms = this is not just about AI technology — it bundles chips, minerals, and power infrastructure into a single camp-entry requirement.
03

What is China's WAICO?

The World AI Cooperation Organisation (WAICO) was formally established on July 16 when 29 countries signed its founding agreement; its headquarters are in Shanghai.
Members include Pakistan, Russia, Indonesia, and nations across Africa, Asia, and Latin America — the focus is on AI capacity-building for developing economies.
Xi Jinping pledged 5,000 AI training slots for developing countries over five years and new international AI application centres.
This reflects Beijing's strategy: attract emerging markets with low-barrier, open-weight models as an alternative to US proprietary systems.
04

Why has Kazakhstan become the test case?

Kazakhstan is the only country known to sit in both camps — it is a Pax Silica member and a founding WAICO member.
It holds substantial critical mineral reserves, giving it outsized weight in advanced-technology supply chains.
This means → if Washington enforces exclusivity, Kazakhstan will be forced to pick a side — and its mineral wealth ensures neither camp wants to let go.
05

Has the nature of this competition changed?

Previous export controls targeted specific companies, advanced chips, or manufacturing equipment; this draft pushes for entire countries to make an alignment choice.
The competition now extends beyond model capability into chips, standards, and governance architecture on a global scale.
In plain terms = it used to be "block one company from buying one chip"; now it is "which side does your country stand on?"
Whether Washington will truly enforce exclusivity remains uncertain — but the trajectory is clear: AI competition is shifting from corporate rivalry to a contest over national alignment and global supply-chain allegiance.

Content is for reference only, not financial advice.