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U.S. Treasury Secretary Warns China Must Immediately Fulfill Busan Trade Agreement

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nashnova research
·今天发布·阅读约 9 分钟

Treasury Secretary Bessent and Trade Rep Greer called Vice Premier He Lifeng, demanding immediate, full compliance with the Busan trade-truce deal — the core dispute: China has delivered roughly two-thirds of its rare-earth commitments, with less than two months left.

01

What exactly did Washington say on this call?

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Bessent and Greer called He Lifeng on Friday with unusually blunt language: China must deliver on Busan "immediately and fully."
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The Treasury statement said "continued progress depends on tangible results" — the US will closely assess China's performance.
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This means → Washington is not asking for improvement. It is setting a pass-fail test.
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Per the Financial Times, Bessent and Greer made clear that Trump himself treats this as a "priority."
02

What is the Busan deal — and why is it blowing up now?

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The Busan agreement was struck in October 2025 in Busan, South Korea — a phased trade-truce arrangement originally set to expire on January 10 this year.
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During Xi Jinping's Washington visit in September, the two sides failed to bridge their differences and extended the deadline by two months to January 2027.
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In plain terms = the deal already got one lifeline. Now, with under two months to the new deadline, the US says China still has not delivered.
03

Rare earths — where is the sticking point?

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US officials believe China has fulfilled only about two-thirds of its Busan rare-earth commitments — and since Bessent raised the issue face-to-face in New York in September, Beijing has not increased supply.
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China denies the charge and insists it has met its obligations — the two sides flatly disagree.
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Washington also flagged China's restrictions on yttrium exports to Japan. Yttrium — a rare-earth element critical to jet engines and missiles — feeds into Japanese-made components used in US products. Japanese companies have warned their government that inventories are at dangerously low levels.
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This means → the rare-earth dispute is no longer just bilateral. It now pulls in Japan's supply chain, widening the impact.
04

How is the agricultural side doing?

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The US considers China's soybean-purchase commitment fulfilled.
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But commitments on other agricultural products remain outstanding.
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In plain terms = soybeans passed; the rest is still owed. Rare earths are the biggest unfulfilled item, but not the only one.
05

What happens in the next two months?

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Trump and Xi are expected to meet at the APEC summit in Shenzhen in roughly two weeks, but trade is not expected to dominate that agenda.
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More substantive negotiations are anticipated at the G20 summit in Miami in December.
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Bessent and Greer are also expected to hold face-to-face talks with their Chinese counterparts sometime between APEC and G20.
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This reflects Washington's sequencing: phone pressure first, summit observation second, then an in-person showdown — whether rare-earth supply meaningfully increases before the deadline is the key variable for the truce's survival.

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相关标的

4
  • MP MaterialsMP.US+5.6%

    The largest U.S. rare earth miner; China's insufficient rare earth compliance directly impacts the global rare earth supply landscape and substitute demand for MP.

  • iShares ChinaMCHI.ETF-0.2%

    Renewed escalation in U.S.-China trade friction, with pre-deadline pressure increasing the overall risk premium on Chinese assets.

  • VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic MetalsREMX.ETF+1.6%

    The rare earth supply dispute is at the core of this event; China's export restrictions directly affect global rare earth and strategic metals prices.

  • Teucrium Soybean ETFSOYB.ETF+0.2%

    The agreement involves China's soybean purchase commitments; compliance progress directly impacts soybean demand expectations and prices.