Daily Vessel Transits Through Strait of Hormuz Drop to 7, Below 10-Day Average
Nashnova编辑部
Only 7 commodity vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on August 28 — less than half the 15-ship 10-day average — as the waterway carrying roughly a fifth of the world's oil supply continues to tighten amid Iran tensions.
How sharp is the drop?
The previous day saw 17 transits; the count fell nearly 60% in 24 hours. The 10-day average sits at 15 vessels.
This means → traffic has slid from "below normal" into "near-standstill" territory. The swing itself signals deep instability.
The data comes from preliminary tracking by Kpler. The firm cautions that figures may be revised — some ships switch off their AIS transponders (automatic identification system — the device that broadcasts a vessel's position) mid-voyage.
What type of ships made the crossing?
The seven vessels: two medium-range product tankers, one VLGC (very large gas carrier), one Ultramax bulk carrier, one intermediate tanker, and two chemical tankers.
Four were outbound (two chemical tankers, one product tanker, one intermediate tanker); three were inbound (the VLGC, the Ultramax, and one product tanker).
In plain terms = not a single VLCC — very large crude carrier — appeared on the list. Bulk crude shipments are effectively on hold.
Where do the diplomatic talks stand?
Reuters reports Iran has agreed to draw up a list of conditions for restoring normal passage. Qatar's envoy had previously pressed Tehran to respect freedom of navigation.
A senior Iranian source, however, says Iran and Oman are still negotiating the details of a strait-management and revenue-sharing agreement — even though Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps had earlier announced a deal was reached.
This reflects a gap between "deal announced" and "deal enforceable." Whether transit volumes meaningfully recover hinges on how these talks conclude.
What about the other chokepoint — the Strait of Mandab?
On the same day, 17 commodity vessels transited the Strait of Mandab (the chokepoint linking the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden) — six inbound, eleven outbound.
This means → Mandab traffic ran at more than double that of Hormuz. The two Middle Eastern chokepoints are diverging sharply in stress levels.
In plain terms = Hormuz is squeezed by an Iran-driven political standoff; Mandab is relatively stable for now. But if either waterway tightens further, global oil and gas shipping costs rise directly.
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