U.S. Bitcoin Miners Accelerate Pivot to AI Data Centers as Scarce Power Assets Reshape Valuations

nashnova research
今天发布阅读约 12 分钟

US-listed Bitcoin miners are redirecting power and campus resources to AI computing at scale; most of their revenue is expected to come from AI by year-end. The shift directly conflicts with the Trump administration's push to keep mining on American soil.

01

Why are miners suddenly pivoting to AI?

Bitcoin's total market cap has shrunk roughly $1 trillion from its October 2025 peak, squeezing mining economics.
Hyperscale AI operators, meanwhile, are desperate for power capacity — and willing to sign long-term leases at premium rates.
This means → a miner's most valuable asset is no longer its rigs but its grid connection, land, and substation infrastructure — the scarcest inputs for AI data centers.
02

What deals have been signed — and how big are they?

Hut 8 disclosed two 15-year AI leases at its Beacon Point campus in Texas, totaling 704 MW of IT capacity and $19.6 billion in base-term contract value. The site was originally evaluated for crypto miner American Bitcoin, but ultimately went to AI tenants.
TeraWulf signed a 20-year lease with Anthropic covering roughly 401 MW of IT load, with estimated base-term revenue of about $19 billion. Capacity delivery starts in the second half of 2027.
In plain terms = the two companies have locked in nearly $40 billion in long-term AI revenue over 15–20-year horizons — fundamentally rewriting their income structure and valuation story.
03

What does converting a mine to an AI facility actually require?

Existing mining sites lack the power redundancy, cooling, and networking that AI workloads demand; major upgrades are needed.
AI computing requires liquid-cooling systems and higher-tier power redundancy — redundancy meaning backup circuits that take over if the primary feed fails. Mining sites previously only needed "power on, fans running."
TeraWulf's filings show the company has shut down and retrofitted parts of its mining fleet, booking accelerated depreciation and impairments. This means → the pivot is not free; miners must take upfront losses before long-term AI rent flows in.
04

What is happening to America's share of Bitcoin mining?

Data from Luxor Technology shows hashrate dedicated to Bitcoin mining has fallen 18% since last October, with activity shifting away from the US toward East Asia and parts of Russia.
Luxor COO Ethan Vera: "The biggest declines are among US-listed companies, because they're redirecting power to AI. We expect the trend to continue."
US-compliant pool Foundry USA has seen its hashrate share drop from over one-third to 26%; AntPool and F2Pool are gaining ground among miners outside the US.
05

Policy wants more mining — reality is pushing AI?

The Trump administration signed an executive order in July 2025 to fast-track federal permitting for data centers and power infrastructure. In June 2026, FERC ordered six regional grid operators to justify their large-load interconnection rules, aiming to speed up access.
These policies are meant to cut construction and power-queue timelines, but new generation and transmission still take years to build — mining campuses that already have grid access are therefore prized by AI developers and cloud giants.
This reflects a structural contradiction: faster permitting makes electrified sites more valuable, which gives their owners even more incentive to lease power to the highest bidder — AI, not mining.
06

Can this pivot actually work?

American Bitcoin Corp., backed by the Trump family, has posted losses for three consecutive quarters; its stock has fallen roughly 90% over the past year — a stark illustration of mining's deteriorating economics.
Whether miners can truly re-rate depends on three variables: whether long-term lease revenue can cover retrofit capex, financing costs, and delivery risk.
In plain terms = power is scarce and AI is willing to pay a premium for it, but turning a mining campus into a qualified AI facility costs real money — the bet is that AI compute demand holds for the next 15–20 years.

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