AI Hardware · Supply Chain
Tracks the AI hardware supply chain using primary research and post-mortems. Maps how changes flow through the chain, identifies the stage of the cycle, and separates signal from noise.
Questions to ask
- Where is the next bottleneck in the AI hardware supply chain?
- Which constraint is limiting growth: HBM, advanced packaging, power, or cooling?
- Where exactly in the supply chain does this company make its money?
What you'll get
Supply-chain maps · bottleneck analysis · cycle signals · beneficiary lists
Ask SemiTracker →
US Fundamentals · Contrarian Investing
A Burry-style contrarian framework grounded in filings, earnings quality, valuation, and the business cycle. It builds both the long and short case—and shows what would invalidate each one.
Questions to ask
- How strong is this company's underlying earnings power?
- Does the market narrative match the financial data?
- What is the strongest short thesis—and what would invalidate it?
What you'll get
Earnings-quality analysis · implied valuation assumptions · short thesis · risk triggers
Ask Burry →
AI Infrastructure · Supply Chain Bottlenecks
Looks beyond the obvious AI leaders to find the scarce components, capacity constraints, and infrastructure bottlenecks that could matter next.
Questions to ask
- Where is the next bottleneck in the AI hardware supply chain?
- How tight are GPUs, HBM, and advanced-packaging capacity?
- Where are we in the cloud Capex cycle?
What you'll get
Supply-chain bottlenecks · beneficiary lists · capex tracking · signals that would change the view
Ask Citrini →
Supply Chain Signals · Public Research Framework
Reconstructs Serenity's public research framework to find critical supply-chain bottlenecks and separate credible signals from market hype.
Questions to ask
- Which link is this supply chain stuck on?
- Which company controls the hardest-to-replace link?
- Which public posts on X contain useful supply-chain signals?
What you'll get
Public-source research · critical-node analysis · signal-versus-noise breakdown
Ask Serenity →
Market Cycles · Risk Appetite
Uses a memo-style framework to assess where markets sit in the cycle, how risk appetite is changing, and whether conditions favor offense or defense.
Questions to ask
- Where are we in the market cycle right now?
- Should we be playing offense or defense?
- Is risk appetite starting to turn?
What you'll get
Cycle assessment · offense/defense framework · risk-appetite signals
Ask Howard Marks →
Business Quality · Long-Term Investing
Applies the principles found in shareholder letters, annual-meeting Q&As, and classic speeches to business quality, moats, management, and margin of safety.
Questions to ask
- Is this company's moat real?
- Is management worth trusting for the long haul?
- Does today's price leave a margin of safety?
What you'll get
Business-quality assessment · moat analysis · margin-of-safety framework
Ask Buffett →
AGI Timelines · Compute Bottlenecks
Starts with AGI timelines, then maps the constraints across compute, power, chips, and data centers—along with who may benefit and what would weaken the thesis.
Questions to ask
- What do AGI timelines mean for compute demand?
- Which constraint binds first: power, chips, or data-center capacity?
- What would weaken the AI infrastructure thesis?
What you'll get
AGI scenarios · compute constraints · infrastructure value chains · thesis-breakers
Ask Leopold →
Macro Frameworks · Asset Transmission
Uses top-down macro frameworks to connect policy, economic cycles, and market structure—and show how those forces move across asset classes.
Questions to ask
- What connects rates, currencies, and commodities?
- What variable is driving this cycle?
- How should stocks, bonds, and commodities fit on one map?
What you'll get
Macro maps · cycle assessment · cross-asset allocation signals
Ask Fu Peng →
Commodity Cycles · Supply & Demand
Maps commodity supply and demand, identifies the marginal buyer and seller, and separates cyclical moves from structural shifts.
Questions to ask
- Where is the supply-demand tension in this commodity?
- Who are the marginal buyers and sellers?
- Cyclical rally or structural re-rating?
What you'll get
Supply-demand maps · price drivers · cycle analysis · instrument selection
Ask Windborne Wayfarer →
Portfolio Allocation · Individual Investors
Built for individual investors who want a clearer way to diversify globally, compare similar funds, and plan entries, contributions, and exits.
Questions to ask
- How should I diversify my money globally?
- Which fund should I pick among the lookalikes?
- Is now the time to buy, dollar-cost average, or take profits?
What you'll get
Allocation options · fund screening · valuation ranges · entry and exit plans
Ask Lazy Cat →
Owner's Perspective · Long-Term Investing
Looks at investing through an operator's eyes: Is this a good business? Can management be trusted? Could today's price still look attractive ten years from now?
Questions to ask
- Is this a good business over the long run?
- Can the founder and management be trusted?
- Ten years from now, will this price look like a bargain?
What you'll get
Business-model assessment · management analysis · conditions for a long-term hold
Ask Yongping Duan →
Applies GMF Research's public framework to U.S., European, and Japanese fundamentals, global liquidity, rates, credit, and FX.
Questions to ask
- Is dollar liquidity loose or tight right now?
- What are the Fed and bank balance sheets telling us?
- Rates, credit, FX — which moves first?
What you'll get
Liquidity mechanics · rates, credit, and FX signals · risk transmission paths
Ask GMF Research →
Macro Trading · Rates & FX
Applies a macro trader's framework to rates, FX, positioning, and risk—turning a broad narrative into observable anchors and scenarios.
Questions to ask
- What's anchoring rates and FX trades right now?
- How does a macro narrative translate into position sizing and stops?
- Which variable is most likely to break this trade?
What you'll get
Trading frameworks · key anchors to watch · positioning and risk scenarios
Ask Jun Yuan →
